Tag Archives: Quaras

Quaras (Winner) – Told us about an interesting addon called Bunnyhunter.

“The app lets you track “progress” toward getting a better chance of your drop because it lets you know how many whelp carriers you have killed. If you kill 150 mobs, it lets you know you have approximately a 15% chance “so far” of getting the whelp.

This shows a real fallacy in the RNG analysis which is that successive kills actually increase your chance of getting a rare drop. Despite the multiple attempts, you have the same chance of getting the drop on your first kill as you do on your 999th kill which is 1/1000.”

While it’s really just a record keeping addon it has definite potential for people to misinterpret the outputs and how RNG works. This was exactly the kind of thing I was looking for! Send me an email through the contact me option and I’ll send the code your way :)

Xellen – I thought this one was great, a perfect example of an RNGTard!

“People in dalaran sometimes make me think everyone needs to take basic statistics. I was talking to some random dk in dalaran who was riding Barons mount. I asked him how many runs it took and he said 57. I proceeded to call him lucky since I’m up to 264 with no drop, and I was exalted with the runeblade (was my first epic and I got it on my birthday, good old rng) back in classic.

His reply was thats impossible because after 100 runs you’re guarenteed to see a 1% drop. I spent 15 minutes trying to explain thats not how statistics works before giving up and just assuming that some people are beyond help.”

Descar – A classic example of superstition when prospecting titanium. I loved this one!

‘The most epics I have gotten off of 1 stack is 4, 1 stack of 5 gave me 2 and then I got 1 and 1. I usually do not prospect any ore unless I have 5+ stacks, I like doing 20 stacks at a time. But I will put them in my bags side by side, and start with one stack, lets say I get an epic off of the first prospect.

I leave that stack at 15 and move to another, lets say on that stack i get an epic after 3 prospects, I move on to the next stack leaving that one at 5, I continue to do that in that order, and If I get a stack that I got no epic out of, I have a full stack that I already got an epic out of. So I list it on the AH for 300-340g (which is still profit as I only paid 250) or I may prospect it in hopes of keeping it balanced.’

Huge thanks to everyone who submitted there examples. I would love to make these a regular/weekly post so if you have good examples of RNGTards similar to the ones above send them through.

I especially like examples where someone not only ‘doesnt get’ how RNG works but is aggressive about their lack of understanding! Extra points for those ones :p